Week 11 Kicker Rankings - Metric Based Projections
11/14 UPDATE *Butker to IR will change the rankings once we know who their kicker is going to be.
11/13 UPDATE *with Siebert OUT for Washington, I've replaced him with Zane Gonzalez*
Getting tough to keep up with the injuries, that's for sure!
I hope you're finding it useful as well and this is a thread you can discuss kickers.
See my Kicker Rest of Season and Power Rankings HERE
HOW IT WORKS
The projections are done by multiplying the kickers fantasy points per game by a weighted average of stats for the defense the kicker is going against. You'll find that these projections have a wider range of points than the big sites.
WEATHER IS NOT factored into the projections. Just remember wind over 15 mph, extreme cold, rain, or a combo of wind and rain, can affect kicking totals negatively. \I've added a column to show if the kicker is playing in a dome or not.\**
Metrics used for the opponent defense are:
- Points Allowed Per Game
- Kicker Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game
- Extra Points Attempts Per Game
- Field Goals Attempts Per Game
- Red Zone TD % (LOW=more FG attempts)
NOTES:
Week 11 Byes: Chad Ryland, ARI; Eddie Pineiro, CAR; Graham Gano, NYG; Chase McLaughlin, TB
Younghoe Koo, ATL - Quite the falloff. The opportunities have been there, he's just missing left and right. He's 32nd in FG% this season. I had him on my drop list last week. Add anyone else you can.
Jake Moody, SF - 6 field goal attempts was great last week! 3 misses weren't so great. Start with caution.
Austin Seibert, WAS - keep an eye on the injury report. With them playing Thursday, there's a chance he misses. If he does, add Zane Gonzalez.
Brandon Aubrey, DAL - The concerns came true. Their offense couldn't score. Aubrey will continue to make the FG when he has the chance, it's just a matter of how many opportunities he'll get.
John Parker Romo, MIN - small sample size from last week, but if that type of play continues, he'll be in the top just like Reichard was the whole season.
Rank | Player | Week 10 Opponent | Matchup Rating | Stadium | Projected Points | ROST % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | John Parker Romo (MIN) | Tennessee | 12 | Outdoor | 13.53 | 1.40% |
2 | Chris Boswell (PIT) | Baltimore | 10 | Outdoor | 12.72 | 54.30% |
3 | Ka'imi Fairbairn (HOU) | Dallas | 9 | Dome | 12.65 | 90.70% |
4 | Zane Gonzalez (WAS) | Philadelphia | 13 | Outdoor | 11.34 | 0.10% |
5 | Wil Lutz (DEN) | Atlanta | 3 | Outdoor | 11.13 | 10.80% |
6 | Daniel Carlson (LV) | Miami | 2 | Outdoor | 11.06 | 4.60% |
7 | Jake Moody (SF) | Seattle | 17 | Outdoor | 10.93 | 60.40% |
8 | Jason Sanders (MIA) | Las Vegas | 5 | Outdoor | 10.86 | 25.30% |
9 | Brandon McManus (GB) | Chicago | 4 | Outdoor | 10.58 | 3.60% |
10 | Dustin Hopkins (CLE) | New Orleans | 1 | Dome | 9.72 | 7.70% |
11 | Matt Gay (IND) | NY Jets | 6 | Outdoor | 9.62 | 12.10% |
12 | Jake Bates (DET) | Jacksonville | 14 | Dome | 9.40 | 51.30% |
13 | Brandon Aubrey (DAL) | Houston | 25 | Dome | 8.48 | 94.30% |
14 | Joshua Karty (LAR) | New England | 11 | Outdoor | 8.47 | 4.40% |
15 | Tyler Bass (BUF) | Kansas City | 18 | Outdoor | 8.31 | 60.60% |
16 | Blake Grupe (NO) | Cleveland | 16 | Dome | 8.14 | 11.80% |
17 | Cameron Dicker (LAC) | Cincinnati | 23 | Dome | 7.74 | 59.80% |
18 | Justin Tucker (BAL) | Pittsburgh | 20 | Outdoor | 7.57 | 98.40% |
19 | Harrison Butker IR\* (KC) | Buffalo | 21 | Outdoor | 7.48 | 92.60% |
20 | Younghoe Koo (ATL) | Denver | 19 | Outdoor | 7.34 | 86.10% |
21 | Cam Little (JAC) | Detroit | 8 | Dome | 7.16 | 2.10% |
22 | Joey Slye (NE) | LA Rams | 15 | Outdoor | 6.89 | 0.90% |
23 | Evan McPherson (CIN) | LA Chargers | 24 | Dome | 6.18 | 78.20% |
24 | Jason Myers (SEA) | San Francisco | 22 | Outdoor | 6.01 | 5.90% |
25 | Spencer Shrader (NYJ) | Indianapolis | 7 | Outdoor | 5.73 | 0.10% |
26 | Cairo Santos (CHI) | Green Bay | 26 | Outdoor | 5.13 | 14.90% |
27 | Jake Elliott (PHI) | Washington | 27 | Outdoor | 4.64 | 74.10% |
28 | Nick Folk (TEN) | Minnesota | 28 | Outdoor | 4.55 | 1.70% |